Scientist Prediction: Earthquake and Tsunami Are Potential Strike at West Sumatra | b l o g o d r i l

18 January 2010

Scientist Prediction: Earthquake and Tsunami Are Potential Strike at West Sumatra

In the two last centuries, the buildup of pressure occurs in parts of the Sunda trench, where one tectonic plate is forced (or sub ducts) under another. The shallow dip of the plate boundary causes large sections to get stuck and runs parallel to the western Sumatra coast. This is the most terrible earthquake zone in the world.

Indonesia has experienced devastating earthquakes and tsunami in Aceh (December 26, 2004) that killed many people. The similar incident could be occurred in Sumatra as a new Padang earthquake.

Such predictions are extraordinarily rare in seismology. Knowledge of where earthquakes strike is extensive. But, the ability to say when they will occur remains elusive.

“The threat of a great tsunamigenic earthquake with a magnitude of more than 8.5 on the Mentawai patch is unabated ... There is potential for loss of life on the scale of the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami.”

Thus the warning delivered seismologist team as reported by AFP news agency on Monday (17/1/2010). The warnings set forth in a letter to the journal Nature Geoscience [1].

The team is led by prominent scientist John McCloskey, a professor at the Research Institute of Environmental Science at the University of Ulster, Northern Ireland. McCloskey famous since the Sumatra earthquake prediction is fairly accurate in the year 2005.

McCloskey was proven right within two weeks. On March 28 2005, a quake measuring 8.6 erupted at Simeulue Island, generating a three-meter tsunami. >>> Read the full article in Jakarta Globe.

[1] AFP [Jakarta Globe], 17-01-2010

Related Posts:
1. In Bahasa Indonesia, Menuai Gempa Bumi Di Mentawai: Kapan Akan Terjadi?
2. Building Damage Due to Earthquake in Padang, Indonesia

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